Kalshi's target does not sway within a window. It resets at each rollover. These are the recent published targets and final YES/NO results when settled. Missing results are marked pending.

Waiting for paper signals. A potential entry must pass the sustained confirmation gate before being logged. Results are checked when the page is open. Does not represent actual fills.

Research recommendation: each coin gets one STABLE decision: CHECKING, WATCH YES/NO, PAPER TEST YES/NO (hypothetical only), or NO ENTRY. Confirmation needs three independent scans over at least 42 seconds in the early window (12:30–5:00 remaining). Once a side is confirmed it cannot reverse to the opposite side until the next contract; conflicting evidence invalidates it. The recommendation gives reversal-watch candidates priority over ordinary favorite-following signals. MONITOR YES/NO: which underdog could potentially flip, without evidence of a turn yet. REVERSAL WATCH: momentum is improving toward a flip. REVERSAL FORMING: momentum and Kalshi quote movement agree. PAPER REVERSAL: a stricter, unvalidated value screen for backtesting only. An underdog is not automatically a bargain. Market outlook: LEAN YES, LEAN NO, or NEUTRAL from the chart model—even when trading is unattractive. Trade-value screen: PAPER TEST YES/NO, WATCH, WAIT FOR PRICE, or NO ENTRY after estimated fees and uncertainty. The watch price is an experimental model threshold, not a fair-value guarantee. An upper confidence bound is not claimed: forecast ranges are just sensitivity scenarios.